{"id":1100,"date":"2025-09-29T11:45:55","date_gmt":"2025-09-29T11:45:55","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/tennisring.com\/?p=1100"},"modified":"2025-09-29T11:45:55","modified_gmt":"2025-09-29T11:45:55","slug":"wta-rankings-how-close-can-iga-swiatek-get-to-world-no-1-aryna-sabalenka-at-china-open","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/tennisring.com\/?p=1100","title":{"rendered":"WTA Rankings: How close can Iga Swiatek get to world No 1 Aryna Sabalenka at China Open?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Iga Swiatek is safely through to the fourth round of the China Open, and it is hard to see who will stop the world No 2 and top seed at the WTA 1000 event this week.<\/p>\n<p>After <a href=\"https:\/\/www.tennis365.com\/facts-stats\/iga-swiatek-makes-wta-history-hits-4-incredible-milestones-china-open-win\">setting several impressive milestones during her opening win over Yuan Yue on Saturday<\/a>, the Pole was on court for just six games in her third-round match on Monday, with Camila Osorio retiring after the opening set of their encounter.<\/p>\n<p>Victory for <a href=\"https:\/\/www.tennis365.com\/tag\/iga-swiatek\">Swiatek<\/a> powers her into a fourth-round contest against 16th seed Emma Navarro \u2014 an opponent she holds a 2-0 head-to-head against \u2014 and puts her in a strong position to continue a potential challenge to <a href=\"https:\/\/www.tennis365.com\/tag\/aryna-sabalenka\">Aryna Sabalenka\u2019s<\/a> world No 1 ranking.<\/p>\n<p>Here, we look at how close Swiatek can now get to challenging her greatest rival in Beijing this week.<\/p>\n<h2>Sabalenka\u2019s status<\/h2>\n<p>Sabalenka has been ranked as the world No 1 since October last year, and still has a commanding lead as things stand.<\/p>\n<p>However, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.tennis365.com\/tennis-features\/aryna-sabalenka-iga-swiatek-set-to-break-controversial-wta-rankings-rule-for-second-straight-year\">the Belarusian will likely be affected by rules regarding WTA Ranking \u2018mandatory\u2019 events<\/a>, and will drop 215 quarter-finalist points from last year\u2019s China Open after her withdrawal from this year\u2019s tournament.<\/p>\n<p>Currently on 11,225 points, Sabalenka will drop to 11,010 points when the WTA Rankings officially drop post-tournament.<\/p>\n<p>Heading into the China Open, Swiatek held 8,433 points.<\/p>\n<h2>Tennis News<\/h2>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.tennis365.com\/tennis-news\/emma-raducanu-misses-china-open-wta-rankings-chance-jessica-pegula-loss\">Emma Raducanu misses rankings chance as she suffers painful Jessica Pegula China Open loss<\/a><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.tennis365.com\/tennis-features\/coco-gauff-serve-stats-analysis-china-open-beijing\">How has Coco Gauff\u2019s serve performed at the China Open \u2013 and is it a concern?<\/a><\/p>\n<h2>How much ground can Swiatek make up?<\/h2>\n<p>Having been provisionally suspended during the China Open last year, Swiatek has no points to defend at the tournament in 2025 \u2014 something that gave her a huge advantage from a rankings perspective.<\/p>\n<p>The world No 2 cannot directly return to the top of the WTA Rankings with a strong run in Beijing, but has already begun to make some ground on Sabalenka after her opening two victories.<\/p>\n<p>With 120 points to her name, thanks to reaching round four, Swiatek is already up to 8,533 points in the WTA Live Rankings.<\/p>\n<p>That places her within 2,500 points of Sabalenka \u2014 still a significant gap \u2014 but Swiatek can make up significant ground, especially considering that the world No 1 has 1,000 points to defend as the Wuhan Open champion next week.<\/p>\n<p>Should the Pole defeat Navarro in Wednesday\u2019s fourth-round clash and reach the last eight, that would move her to 8,648 points, up 215 points in the WTA Rankings.<\/p>\n<p>However, if she were to progress to the semi-final, she would move up to an impressive 8,823 points, and she would hit the 9,000-point milestone with a run to the final.<\/p>\n<p>A runner-up finish would put Swiatek on 9,083 points, while a run to the title would place her on 9,433 points.<\/p>\n<p>Those results would put the Pole within 2,000 points of Sabalenka in the WTA Rankings, something that would be significant heading into the Wuhan Open.<\/p>\n<p>With Sabalenka defending 1,000 points and Swiatek defending no points, it would be mathematically possible for the six-time Grand Slam champion to regain the No 1 ranking at the event.<\/p>\n<h2>Swiatek\u2019s China Open ranking point possibilities<\/h2>\n<p><strong>Champion<\/strong>: 9,433 (+1,000)<br \/>\n<strong>Runner-up<\/strong>: 9,083 (+650)<br \/>\n<strong>Semi-final<\/strong>: 8,823 (+390)<br \/>\n<strong>Quarter-final<\/strong>: 8,648 (+215)<br \/>\n<strong>Round 4<\/strong>: 8,553 (+120)<\/p>\n<p><strong>Read Next<\/strong>: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.tennis365.com\/tennis-news\/shanghai-masters-draw-2025-carlos-alcaraz-jannik-sinner-novak-djokovic\">Shanghai Masters Draw: Jannik Sinner &amp; Novak Djokovic on collision course as Carlos Alcaraz profits<\/a><\/p>\n<div class=\"kwizly-quiz kwizly-OaaRYO\" data-nosnippet=\"\" data-quiz-type=\"poll|mpu\"><\/div>\n\n<p>The post <a href=\"https:\/\/www.tennis365.com\/tennis-features\/wta-rankings-close-iga-swiatek-get-world-no-1-aryna-sabalenka-china-open\">WTA Rankings: How close can Iga Swiatek get to world No 1 Aryna Sabalenka at China Open?<\/a> appeared first on <a href=\"https:\/\/www.tennis365.com\/\">Tennis365<\/a>.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Iga Swiatek is safely through to the fourth round of the China Open, and it is hard to see who will stop the world No 2 and top seed at the WTA 1000 event this week. After setting several impressive milestones during her opening win over Yuan Yue on Saturday, the Pole was on court [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-1100","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-articles"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/tennisring.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1100","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/tennisring.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/tennisring.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/tennisring.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/tennisring.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=1100"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/tennisring.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1100\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/tennisring.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=1100"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/tennisring.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=1100"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/tennisring.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=1100"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}