The draw for the ATP Finals is out, with Carlos Alcaraz and Jannik Sinner leading the \u2018Elite 8\u2019 in Turin.<\/p>\n
While there are still a handful of draw variables at the year-end championships<\/a>, both men will already be preparing for their three round-robin matches \u2014 but who will face the tougher time of things?<\/p>\n Here, we analyse whether Alcaraz<\/a> or Sinner<\/a> will be more satisfied with their draw.<\/p>\n Expected opponents: (4) Novak Djokovic, (6) Taylor Fritz, (7) Alex de Minaur<\/em><\/p>\n Alcaraz was knocked out of the ATP Finals at the round-robin stage in 2024 after recording just one win, and will look to bounce back in 2025.<\/p>\n On paper, the eye-catching match-up for the top seed is a clash against seven-time champion and fourth seed Djokovic \u2014 assuming the Serbian plays.<\/p>\n Djokovic holds a 5-4 lead in their head-to-head and beat Alcaraz convincingly when they met in the semi-final of this event in 2023.<\/p>\n However, Alcaraz has been in much more consistent form in 2025 and was a convincing winner when the two met in the semi-final of the US Open this September.<\/p>\n Novak Djokovic on Alcaraz-Sinner comparisons to Big Three rivalry and names most underrated player<\/a><\/p>\n Jannik Sinner is \u2018obsessed\u2019 with Carlos Alcaraz, claims former world No 1<\/a><\/p>\n Sixth seed Fritz was the runner-up at this tournament last year and has strong consistency indoors, even beating the Spaniard at the Laver Cup this year.<\/p>\n But it was Alcaraz who had previously picked up a Laver Cup win over the American in 2024, and a win in the Japan Open final this September saw him move 4-1 up in their head-to-head.<\/p>\n Fritz is certainly comfortable in Turin \u2014 Sinner was the only player to beat him last year \u2014 but Alcaraz will still enter this contest as the favourite.<\/p>\n He will also enter as the favourite against the seventh seed de Minaur, who will be looking for his first ATP Finals match wins after a 0-3 record on debut in 2024.<\/p>\n Alcaraz holds a perfect 4-0 record against the Australian, though he was pushed to three sets when they met in the indoor Rotterdam Open final this February.<\/p>\n Expected opponents: (3) Alexander Zverev, (5) Ben Shelton, (8) Felix Auger-Aliassime OR Lorenzo Musetti<\/em><\/p>\n Entering as the defending champion, home favourite and second seed Sinner only has two confirmed opponents so far \u2014 with Musetti and Auger-Aliassime still battling for the final spot.<\/p>\n What we do know is that the highest seed in this group behind him is third seed Zverev, an opponent he has already beaten twice this indoor season.<\/p>\n The two contested an incredibly competitive final in Vienna, though it was the Italian who prevailed in the Austrian capital before needing just 61 minutes to seal a 6-0, 6-1 win over Zverev in the Paris Masters semi-finals.<\/p>\n Zverev was evidently not at full fitness in that match, but the German has now lost four straight matches to Sinner, including the Australian Open final in January.<\/p>\n Sinner now leads that head-to-head 5-4 after being 1-4 down, though his head-to-head over fifth seed Shelton is even more emphatic.<\/p>\n The Italian lost his first meeting against Shelton at the 2023 Shanghai Masters, but has won seven meetings since then \u2014 winning 17 straight sets against the American.<\/p>\n Shelton struggles to challenge Sinner on return, and the Italian\u2019s confident 6-3, 6-3 win in Paris last week suggests he will be the overwhelming favourite in this match-up.<\/p>\n He will also be the heavy favourite against Auger-Aliassime or Musetti, regardless of who he faces.<\/p>\n Sinner has an unblemished 3-0 record against compatriot Musetti, most recently meeting at the US Open, while he has beaten Auger-Aliassime in all three of their 2025 clashes \u2014 including the Paris final.<\/p>\n Fundamentally, both Alcaraz and Sinner will be happy with their groups in Turin, and remain heavy favourites to meet in the final.<\/p>\n However, it will perhaps be Sinner who is the most satisfied.<\/p>\n The three match-ups he faces in Turin \u2014 whether it\u2019s Musetti or Auger-Aliassime \u2014 have all swung heavily in his favour in recent months, particularly against both Shelton and Zverev.<\/p>\n Unbeaten at the event twelve months ago, the Italian looks in line for another strong campaign.<\/p>\n Read Next<\/strong>: Prize money earned by Alcaraz, Sinner, Djokovic, Zverev in 2025 ahead of ATP Finals revealed<\/a><\/p>\n The post ATP Finals: Does Carlos Alcaraz or Jannik Sinner have the best group-stage draw?<\/a> appeared first on Tennis365<\/a>.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" The draw for the ATP Finals is out, with Carlos Alcaraz and Jannik Sinner leading the \u2018Elite 8\u2019 in Turin. While there are still a handful of draw variables at the year-end championships, both men will already be preparing for their three round-robin matches \u2014 but who will face the tougher time of things? Here, […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-1289","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-articles"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/tennisring.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1289","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/tennisring.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/tennisring.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/tennisring.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/tennisring.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=1289"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/tennisring.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1289\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/tennisring.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=1289"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/tennisring.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=1289"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/tennisring.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=1289"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}Who is in Carlos Alcaraz\u2019s group?<\/h2>\n
Tennis News<\/h2>\n
Who is in Jannik Sinner\u2019s group?<\/h2>\n
Who has the better group?<\/h2>\n