Only one Italian Open match remains and it could have a big impact on defending champion Iga Swiatek’s seeding at the French Open.
Four-time Roland Garros winner Swiatek has already had a setback in her seeding as she is guaranteed to slip from No 2 to No 4 in the WTA Rankings after the WTA 1000 event in Rome.
But she could drop to fifth in the standings if Jasmine Paolini goes on to beat Coco Gauff and win the trophy at Foro Italico.
The seedings for the French Open are based on the WTA Rankings on May 19, 2025, and Aryna Sabalenka is assured of being the top seed with Gauff second and Jessica Pegula third, but the fourth and fifth positions will only be decided after the Italian Open final.
Despite her quarter-final exit in Rome, Sabalenka sits comfortably at the top on 10,683 points in the Live Rankings and she is followed by Gauff (6,863/7,213) and Pegula (6,308).
It is the second major in a row where Sabalenka is the top seed as she was also at No 1 at the Australian Open after Swiatek dominated the top spot the previous few years.
Swiatek is currently in fourth place after she failed to defend her WTA 1000 trophy and she has 5,838 points while Paolini is fifth on 5,515, but the Italian will move to 5,865 points if she wins the final.
The other players who will be seeded in the top eight are Mirra Andreeva, Madison Keys and Zheng Qinwen with Emma Navarro and Paula Badosa completing the top 10.
Projected French Open women’s singles seeds (Live Rankings May 16)
1. Aryna Sabalenka
2. Coco Gauff
3. Jessica Pegula
4. Iga Swiatek
5. Jasmine Paolini
6. Mirra Andreeva
7. Madison Keys
8. Zheng Qinwen
9. Emma Navarro
10. Paula Badosa
11. Diana Shnaider
12. Elena Rybakina
13. Karolina Muchova
14. Elina Svitolina
15. Barbora Krejcikova
16. Amanda Anisimova
17. Daria Kasatkina
18. Donna Vekic
19. Ludmilla Samsonova
20. Jelena Ostapenko
21. Clara Tauson
22. Ekaterina Alexandrova
23. Beatriz Haddad Maia
24. Elise Mertens
25. Magdalena Frech
26. Marta Kostyuk
27. Peyton Stearns
28. Leylah Fernandez
29. Linda Noskova
30. Anna Kalinskaya
31. Sofia Kenin
32. Yulia Putintseva
The top eight players can’t face each other before the quarter-finals as they will each be placed in their own section of the main draw for the clay-court major while Sabalenka will headline the top half of the draw and Gauff will go into the bottom half.
The next two (Pegula and one of Swiatek and Paolini) will also be split.
If Swiatek ends up as the fifth seed, she could face one of the top two as early as the last eight.
Fourth or fifth will be the five-time Grand Slam winner’s lowest seeding at Roland Garros since 2021 when she was seeded eighth as she has been the top seed the past three editions.
WTA News
Jannik Sinner beats Carlos Alcaraz, Iga Swiatek facing a rankings collapse – French Open picks
Iga Swiatek defended by Andy Roddick after criticism from Polish media
Unlike at WTA 1000 events, the seeded players do not enjoy byes in the Grand Slams and they all have to win seven matches to secure the title.
Reigning Wimbledon champion Barbora Krejcikova is set to be seeded 15th, but there are doubts over whether or not she will play as she has not featured so far this year. The Czech is set to play in Strasbourg next week, but it remains to be seen if she will be fit enough.
Just outside the cut
Should any of the players in the top 32 withdraw from the French Open, then the following players are next in line to be seeded:
33. Magda Linette
34. Olga Danilović
35. Ons Jabeur
Meanwhile, Krejcikova is one of eight Grand Slam winners who are set to be seeded with the others being Sabalenka, Gauff, Swiatek, Keys, Rybakina, Ostapenko and Kenin.
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